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More reasons why Obama will lose to Mitt Romney in November
Aside from the most obvious reasons (the dismal economy, the unemployment rate, the anti-American stances, pro-socialist policies, pro-bigger government, pro-entitlement mentality, Obamatax, etc.) why Obama will not be re-elected in November comes the following:
Wayne Allyn Root, an American politician, entrepreneur, television and radio personality, author, political commentator, and 2008 Libertarian vice-presidential nominee, who began his career as a professional sports handicapper in Las Vegas, was kind enough to grant me his permission to post a column he had written a few months ago. This article originally ran on the Townhall.com website.
(Mr. Root also predicted a big win for Governor Scott Walker in the recent recall election.)
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Why Obama will lose in a Landslide
By Wayne Allyn Root
May 30, 2012
Most political predictions are made by biased pollsters, pundits, or prognosticators who are either rooting for Republicans or Democrats. I am neither. I am a former Libertarian Vice Presidential nominee, and a well-known Vegas oddsmaker with one of the most accurate records of predicting political races.
Neither Obama nor Romney are my horses in the race. I believe both Republicans and Democrats have destroyed the U.S. economy and brought us to the edge of economic disaster. My vote will go to Libertarian Presidential candidate Gary Johnson in November, whom I believe has the most fiscally conservative track record of any Governor in modern U.S. political history. Without the bold spending cuts of a Gary Johnson or Ron Paul, I don’t believe it’s possible to turnaround America.
But as an oddsmaker with a pretty remarkable track record of picking political races, I play no favorites. I simply use common sense to call them as I see them. Back in late December I released my New Years Predictions. I predicted back then- before a single GOP primary had been held, with Romney trailing for months to almost every GOP competitor from Rick Perry to Herman Cain to Newt- that Romney would easily rout his competition to win the GOP nomination by a landslide. I also predicted that the Presidential race between Obama and Romney would be very close until election day. But that on election day Romney would win by a landslide similar to Reagan-Carter in 1980.
Understanding history, today I am even more convinced of a resounding Romney victory. 32 years ago at this moment in time, Reagan was losing by 9 points to Carter. Romney is right now running even in polls. So why do most pollsters give Obama the edge?
First, most pollsters are missing one ingredient- common sense. Here is my gut instinct. Not one American who voted for McCain 4 years ago will switch to Obama. Not one in all the land. But many millions of people who voted for an unknown Obama 4 years ago are angry, disillusioned, turned off, or scared about the future. Voters know Obama now- and that is a bad harbinger.
Now to an analysis of the voting blocks that matter in U.S. politics:
*Black voters. Obama has nowhere to go but down among this group. His endorsement of gay marriage has alienated many black church-going Christians. He may get 88% of their vote instead of the 96% he got in 2008. This is not good news for Obama.
*Hispanic voters. Obama has nowhere to go but down among this group. If Romney picks Rubio as his VP running-mate the GOP may pick up an extra 10% to 15% of Hispanic voters (plus lock down Florida). This is not good news for Obama.
*Jewish voters. Obama has been weak in his support of Israel. Many Jewish voters and big donors are angry and disappointed. I predict Obama's Jewish support drops from 78% in 2008 to the low 60’s. This is not good news for Obama.
*Youth voters. Obama’s biggest and most enthusiastic believers from 4 years ago have graduated into a job market from hell. Young people are disillusioned, frightened, and broke- a bad combination. The enthusiasm is long gone. Turnout will be much lower among young voters, as will actual voting percentages. This not good news for Obama.
*Catholic voters. Obama won a majority of Catholics in 2008. That won’t happen again. Out of desperation to please women, Obama went to war with the Catholic Church over contraception. Now he is being sued by the Catholic Church. Majority lost. This is not good news for Obama.
*Small Business owners. Because I ran for Vice President last time around, and I'm a small businessman myself, I know literally thousands of small business owners. At least 40% of them in my circle of friends, fans and supporters voted for Obama 4 years ago to “give someone different a chance.” I warned them that he would pursue a war on capitalism and demonize anyone who owned a business...that he’d support unions over the private sector in a big way...that he'd overwhelm the economy with spending and debt. My friends didn’t listen. Four years later, I can't find one person in my circle of small business owner friends voting for Obama. Not one. This is not good news for Obama.
*Blue collar working class whites. Do I need to say a thing? White working class voters are about as happy with Obama as Boston Red Sox fans feel about the New York Yankees. This is not good news for Obama.
*Suburban moms. The issue isn’t contraception…it’s having a job to pay for contraception. Obama’s economy frightens these moms. They are worried about putting food on the table. They fear for their children’s future. This is not good news for Obama.
*Military Veterans. McCain won this group by 10 points. Romney is winning by 24 points. The more our military vets got to see of Obama, the more they disliked him. This is not good news for Obama.
Add it up. Is there one major group where Obama has gained since 2008? Will anyone in America wake up on election day saying “I didn’t vote for Obama 4 years ago. But he’s done such a fantastic job, I can’t wait to vote for him today.” Does anyone feel that a vote for Obama makes their job more secure?
Forget the polls. My gut instincts as a Vegas oddsmaker and common sense small businessman tell me this will be a historic landslide and a world-class repudiation of Obama’s radical and risky socialist agenda. It's Reagan-Carter all over again.
But I’ll give Obama credit for one thing- he is living proof that familiarity breeds contempt.
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130 Comments
jhayett - Jul 15, 2012 3:18 PM
jman99 - Jul 15, 2012 4:14 PM
Episcopal Church formally approves blessing for same-sex couples :
http://www.latimes.com/news/nation/nationnow/la-na-nn-episcopal-church-approves-same-sex-liturgy-20120711,0,2270035.story
jman99 - Jul 15, 2012 4:24 PM
"Most political predictions are made by biased pollsters, pundits, or prognosticators who are either rooting for Republicans or Democrats. I am neither. I am a former Libertarian Vice Presidential nominee, and a well-known Vegas oddsmaker with one of the most accurate records of predicting political races.
Neither Obama nor Romney are my horses in the race. I believe both Republicans and Democrats have destroyed the U.S. economy and brought us to the edge of economic disaster. My vote will go to Libertarian Presidential candidate Gary Johnson in November, whom I believe has the most fiscally conservative track record of any Governor in modern U.S. political history. Without the bold spending cuts of a Gary Johnson or Ron Paul, I don’t believe it’s possible to turnaround America."
Interesting that he dislikes Romney as much as Obama.
jman99 - Jul 15, 2012 4:33 PM
http://townhall.com/columnists/wayneallynroot/2012/05/30/why_obama_will_lose_in_a_landslide
Now remember this fellow was also preaching the story that Obama never went to Columbia....
Here's the link to the whole article, not Just the Hemmer Edit.
Now remember this fellow was also preaching the story that Obama never went to Columbia....
http://www.snopes.com/politics/obama/columbia.asp
So keep a shaker of salt handy.
Tom Bal - Jul 15, 2012 5:00 PM
Episcopal Church formally approves blessing for same-sex couples
What’s this got to do with the cost of gas in the U.S.?
Should this not make you happy you know being a liberal loves everyone kinda guy.
In a way I do kinda agree Jim maybe off a little here.
Can’t keep my Pants Bill Clinton really did lower the bar on morals.
I can remember my kids asking me all kinds of neat questions after the news every night with him in office.
Funny while his VP mate was inventing the Internet Billy Bob was reinventing the meaning of the word Sex
You libs are to funny how any of you can sit here and say this guy is doing a good job is insane or just out right Liars.
ahemmer - Jul 15, 2012 5:32 PM
ahemmer - Jul 15, 2012 5:36 PM
jman99 - Jul 15, 2012 5:57 PM
Not really. If Obama was in a seminar/ thesis stream that was designed to go to grad school and Root was not, then the would not have crossed paths most likely besides Root admits:
"Root: Don't have any theories. I don't know. Don't know why. Kept to himself.... The only thing I could even imagine is that he talks in his biographies about being, you know, his identity crisis, his "am I black or am I white?" He chose black. And he hung out with a couple of black kids and never went near anybody and his wife? That's the only thing I can think of. All my buddies are white, what can I tell you! They don't know him, nobody's ever seen him, I don't know what to tell you."
and
"Root: That's the era. I mean, when I went to Columbia, the black kids were all at like tables going "Black Power!" We used to walk by and go, "What the hell are they talking about." And they didn't associate with us and we didn't associate with them. So if you track down a couple of black students, they'll probably know him. But nobody white's ever heard of this guy. It's quite amazing. Nobody remembers him. They don't remember him sitting in class."
http://reason.com/archives/2008/09/05/wayne-allyn-roots-million-doll
Here's a link to an essay he wrote while at Columbia:
http://www.politico.com/static/PPM116_obamaessay.html
Looking at Root's writing style vs. Obama's you can tell they were most likely in different streams. Obama went on to Harvard and edited the the Law Review, became President of the United States.
Root? Who?
So, I'm not surprised.
ahemmer - Jul 15, 2012 6:10 PM
Strange.
Just like Obama's "girlfriend composite" from one of the books that Bill Ayers wrote on Barry's behalf....aren't people wondering a bit about Obama and his elusive background?
jman99 - Jul 15, 2012 6:17 PM
George was a year ahead of Obama in his studies so hew was a senior when Obama was a junior. Senior males don't pay much attention to junior males, however they are very interested in junior females.
jman99 - Jul 15, 2012 6:23 PM
http://cityroom.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/01/20/recollections-of-obamas-ex-roommate/
What a great American story.
jman99 - Jul 15, 2012 6:31 PM
Naw, I'd give that honor to Nixon.
Anyway, it was a response to Hayett.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k2sYIIjS-cQ
ahemmer - Jul 15, 2012 7:20 PM
Why no grade transcripts? Cuz he was a mediocre student at best?
Why no other information? Cuz he got into college based on "affirmative action" policies?
Why no friends? Cuz he didn't socialize at all?
Why no access to any papers Obama had written? Cuz they are all anti-American and/or racist in nature?
Why such a secretive past? What doesn't Obama want people to know?
And the three "friends" or so-called roomies of Barry seem to be very....let's just say... not convincing. The press could only dredge up three "roomies" of Barry's from his college years at Columbia? Yet they can turn over every stone, dumpster dive, and analyze, tear apart anything to do with Sarah Palin AND now Mitt Romney??? Doesn't that just speak volumes about bias of the media? We all know Obama smoked pot. We all know Obama snorted coke. We all know Obama hung out with avowed Marxists and terrorists - during his "formative years" and beyond. Yet, why no real delving in to the deep dark past of Barry? Cuz the press is protecting him. The American people as a whole sure don't know a lot about this socialist elected to "lead" our country to the brink of disaster.
Obama needs to be a one-termer or all is lost. He is intent on destroying America from within, and the sooner people really wake up, the better.
jman99 - Jul 15, 2012 7:41 PM
"Scott wrote that one person who did remember Obama was Michael L. Baron, who taught a senior seminar on international politics and American policy. Baron said he was Obama’s adviser on the senior thesis for that course and gave him an A for the course. Baron later wrote Obama a recommendation for Harvard Law School."
"On pages 465-466, Maraniss writes of Obama’s last month at Columbia, May 1983:
[Obama] had received mostly A’s in his coursework during those two years, he said later, and finished with a 3.7 grade point average. Including his two years at Occidental, his college education had cost about fifty thousand dollars for the four years and was a family effort. About half came from scholarships and student loans, a bit from the off-the-books part-time summer jobs, and most of the rest from his grandmother, Tut, who had devoted part of her salary each year to his education."
http://www.fourwinds10.net/siterun_data/government/obama_government/news.php?q=1341801629
jman99 - Jul 15, 2012 7:55 PM
There's some good information there.
ahemmer - Jul 16, 2012 7:34 AM
And please note, Mr. Maraniss's information you comment on is not footnoted in his book, meaning we don't know WHERE he got the information from. It probably was provided by Obama himself when Maraniss interviewed him for his book. There is no way to check or validate what Marnaniss has written.
And for the ONE person who remembers Obama, hundreds don't -including this Columbia professor:
"Henry Franklin Graff, professor emeritus of history at Columbia for 46 years, has cast doubt on claims Obama attended classes at the New York City university.
I have no recollection of Barack Obama at Columbia, and I am sure he never attended any of my classes,” Graff told WND in a telephone interview.
“For 46 years, I taught political history, diplomatic history and one of the pioneering courses on presidential history, and every future politician of note who went through Columbia in those years took one or more of my classes – every one, that is, except Barack Obama.”
Graff further told WND no professor he knew could remember having Obama as a student at Columbia.
“Nobody I knew at Columbia ever remembers Obama being there,” Graff insisted."
(From: http://www.wnd.com/2012/07/record-shows-obama-at-columbia-only-1-year/)
jhayett - Jul 16, 2012 9:50 AM
jman99 - Jul 16, 2012 9:58 AM
Well, given that these courses were most likely electives, it is easy to see why some one who did not elect to take those courses would not be seen by that prof.
On the other hand it may be possible that Graff was on sabbatical when Obama was at Columbia.
It is also possible that these courses were taught by others from time to time as is common practice in Academia.
Now one thing Hemmer, and you as a Fox News fan may know:
There are references to the WSJ referencing a single Fox initiative of calling 400 former student of Columbia to ask if they had ever met Obama while there.
I've not been able to find this survey on line anywhere, only the references to it.
Do you know where one might be able to find it? I'd like to know the method they used.
jman99 - Jul 16, 2012 10:03 AM
Well pony up Hayett, lets see it.